Description

This analysis provides a forecast of EGLD prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-06-29 9.542921 10.614265 11.767357 13.102494 14.608082 16.255865 18.199284
2025-07-06 7.772431 9.184777 10.809964 12.825258 15.266721 18.140596 21.797106
2025-07-13 6.751735 8.418935 10.455333 13.142174 16.618325 20.996655 26.980631
2025-07-20 5.955270 7.794272 10.165406 13.477301 18.032015 24.146110 33.093441
2025-07-27 5.245300 7.170279 9.776571 13.611381 19.191349 27.141126 39.553047
2025-08-03 4.573629 6.498992 9.222330 13.422379 19.856975 29.542302 45.608057
2025-08-10 4.014774 5.908334 8.695304 13.183097 20.394619 31.822123 51.896645
2025-08-17 3.553887 5.399890 8.217602 12.939469 20.872137 34.065247 58.540996
2025-08-24 3.188113 4.989611 7.834070 12.782263 21.451867 36.550947 66.075020
2025-08-31 2.897120 4.661402 7.537034 12.719399 22.170216 39.375627 74.781205
2025-09-07 2.708731 4.477748 7.452380 13.003629 23.538770 43.590511 87.047056
2025-09-14 2.482811 4.203888 7.179300 12.908440 24.179277 46.516863 97.286817
2025-09-21 2.244985 3.888794 6.806755 12.596400 24.388665 48.697667 106.591768
2025-09-28 2.056233 3.641347 6.528378 12.427240 24.859701 51.508296 118.014037
2025-10-05 1.957437 3.548241 6.525697 12.802829 26.527253 57.214228 137.816412
2025-10-12 1.867126 3.461064 6.523588 13.178617 28.258919 63.404740 160.519980
2025-10-19 1.762282 3.334479 6.429027 13.345050 29.548113 68.810553 182.648709
2025-10-26 1.635303 3.151061 6.199246 13.184746 30.048750 72.379895 200.633330
2025-11-02 1.515990 2.971480 5.958168 12.967042 30.376709 75.577491 218.461959
2025-11-09 1.407681 2.804325 5.725908 12.739411 30.644848 78.676346 236.929812
2025-11-16 1.316385 2.664452 5.538158 12.592886 31.099711 82.388026 258.557666
2025-11-23 1.240342 2.550232 5.395219 12.536610 31.786452 86.909666 284.416119
2025-11-30 1.195284 2.499359 5.389286 12.820278 33.451203 94.685379 324.558880